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Crowding-out (or -in) effect in transition economies: Kyrgyzstan case

Cunus GANİEV

Purpose: The crowding-out and crowding-in effects have been at the core of arguments among economists regarding the influence of government spending on private investment. This study aims to examine the crowding-out (or -in) effect of public spending on private investment in the transition economy of Kyrgyzstan. Design/methodology/approach: The empirical model is an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) and the vector autoregression approach (VAR). Monthly data from 2005 to 2013 of the private investment, government expenditures, remittances from abroad and broad money data were used in the em ...More

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Global financial economic crisis transmission on the transition economy: Case of the Kyrgyz Republic

Cunus GANİEV

Purpose The global financial crisis hit the economy of the Kyrgyz Republic by the third wave of its transmission in early 2009. The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of the global financial economic crisis on the transition economy of the Kyrgyz Republic. As there is a low level of the Kyrgyz Republic's integration into the global financial and economic processes, it is obvious that channels of transmissions are different. Design/methodology/approach The empirical model is the vector autoregression approach. The quarterly data from 2005 to 2013 of the remittances from abroad, t ...More

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What do unit root tests tell us about unemployment hysteresis in transition economies?

Zamira ÖSKÖNBAYEVA

Purpose This study aims to examine the hysteresis hypothesis in unemployment using monthly data from 13 countries in transition. Design/methodology/approach Stationarity in the unemployment rate of selected transition economies was analyzed using four different group unit root tests, namely, linear, structural breaks, non-linear and structural breaks and non-linear. Findings The empirical results show that the unemployment hysteresis hypothesis is valid for the majority of transition economies, including Bulgaria, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, the Kyrgyz Republic, Latvia, ...More

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